Branch2 Intelligence

Will Bulls remain in control in July? History says Nifty 50 has a 72% success rate

IN · 2026-07-04

Key takeaway

Nifty 50 has historically delivered positive returns in July 72% of the time, with average gain of 2.19%.

Step 11st-order: Historical pattern shows 72% probability of positive July returns for Nifty 50, driven by monsoon, budget, and earnings season.
Step 22nd-order: Positive equity returns boost domestic institutional inflows and retail participation, improving liquidity and lowering cost of capital for Indian corporates.
Step 33rd-order: Improved financing conditions and business confidence support SME investment and working capital availability, particularly in budget-linked sectors.

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