A strengthening El Niño is raising concerns over warmer and drier conditions in Kashmir, which could adversely affect the saffron crop as it enters a critical growth stage.
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Key takeaway
A strengthening El Niño is causing drier, warmer weather in Kashmir during saffron's critical growth stage.
- Step 1 · The triggerEl Niño strengthens, causing drier and warmer weather in Kashmir during saffron's critical growth stage
- Step 2 · Knock-onLower soil moisture reduces saffron yields, tightening supply from Kashmir
- Step 3 · Reaches youSaffron prices rise as buyers compete for limited output, raising input costs for SMEs using saffron
The trigger is reported by the source below. The steps that follow are Branch²’s traced reasoning — how the shock could reach a business like yours, not a prediction.
Source: The Hindu BusinessLine
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