India's ageing population set to reshape economy as fertility falls below replacement: Moody's
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Key takeaway
India's fertility rate has fallen below replacement, accelerating population ageing.
- Step 1 · The triggerIndia's fertility rate falls below replacement, accelerating population ageing and shrinking the future workforce.
- Step 2 · Knock-onSlower growth in the working-age population reduces labour supply, raising wage pressure and limiting potential GDP growth.
- Step 3 · Knock-onA higher old-age dependency ratio increases government spending on pensions and healthcare, straining public finances.
- Step 4 · Reaches youSMEs face rising wage costs and a shift in consumer demand toward elder-focused goods and services, impacting margins and growth.
The trigger is reported by the source below. The steps that follow are Branch²’s traced reasoning — how the shock could reach a business like yours, not a prediction.
Source: livemint.com
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