Branch2 Intelligence
Markets tumble after Donald Trump ends ceasefire
Key takeaway
Trump ends US-Iran ceasefire, crude oil spikes, Indian equities fall 2.1%.
- Step 11st-order: Trump ends US-Iran ceasefire, geopolitical risk premium surges in crude oil markets.
- Step 22nd-order: Crude oil price spike raises India's import bill, widens trade deficit, and fuels inflation expectations.
- Step 33rd-order: RBI holds rates to contain inflation; SME lending rates stay elevated, discretionary demand softens.
Source: LiveMint Markets
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