PERM ban is not just an H-1B problem: Who else could lose their green card path?
India — direction and magnitude withheld
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Key takeaway
US DOL suspends PERM filings for select IT employers, freezing employer-sponsored green card queues without cancelling existing visas
- Step 1 · The triggerUS DOL suspends PERM filings for select IT employers, freezing the employer-sponsored green card queue without cancelling existing visas
- Step 2 · Knock-onIndian-national tech workers at affected firms face indefinite extension of already-decade-long EB-2/EB-3 waits, eroding the retention value of queue position
- Step 3 · Knock-onaffected employers — Microsoft and peer sponsors — must substitute retention premiums or accept higher attrition among visa-dependent senior engineers
- Step 4 · Knock-onIndian IT services SMEs and GCC captives lose a key US talent-mobilisation channel; wage arbitrage compresses as onshore retention costs rise
- Step 5 · Reaches youdelivery models shift toward offshore/nearshore alternatives, altering project margins and forex exposure for INR-cost, USD-revenue SMEs
The trigger is reported by the source below. The steps that follow are Branch²’s traced reasoning — how the shock could reach a business like yours, not a prediction.
Source: economictimes.indiatimes.com
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