Credit card defaults reach financial crisis levels
Key takeaway
UK credit card default rates have risen for 18 consecutive months to match 2008 financial-crisis levels
- Step 1 · The triggerUK credit card defaults reach financial-crisis levels after 18 months of rising consumer stress
- Step 2 · Knock-onunsecured lenders tighten underwriting standards and raise loss provisions, reducing capital available for SME lending
- Step 3 · Knock-onUK SMEs face higher financing costs and reduced credit availability as banks reprice risk across the loan book
- Step 4 · Knock-onconsumer-facing SMEs see demand fall as households cut discretionary spend to service priority debts
- Step 5 · Reaches youthe SME's own cash conversion cycle lengthens as customers delay payments and the firm's own credit lines contract
The trigger is reported by the source below. The steps that follow are Branch²’s traced reasoning — how the shock could reach a business like yours, not a prediction.
Source: Google News UK Business
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