The global government bond sell-off has intensified, leading to increased UK borrowing costs and complicating the budget preparations for John Healey.
Key takeaway
Global government bond sell-off lifts UK gilt yields.
- Step 1 · The triggerglobal bond sell-off drives up US Treasury yields, lifting the global term premium
- Step 2 · Knock-onUK gilt yields rise as international investors demand higher returns, increasing UK government borrowing costs
- Step 3 · Knock-onUK banks reprice SME lending rates upward as their own funding costs track gilts
- Step 4 · Reaches youUK SMEs with floating-rate or soon-to-refinance debt face higher interest expenses, squeezing margins
The trigger is reported by the source below. The steps that follow are Branch²’s traced reasoning — how the shock could reach a business like yours, not a prediction.
Source: The Guardian Business
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