Track record dataset
Every dated cost call, with its outcome, as a download.
Updated
What is in it
138 dated cost calls, one row each: 61 hits, 42 misses and 35 still pending; 59.2% of 103 graded calls were hits. Graded under method v5, as of 3 Nov 2026, 18:23 UTC.
Every cost call Atri has published on a small-business input: the date it was made, the input, the claim, the direction it called for costs, the horizon, the outcome against the region's benchmark series, and the story page when that page is indexed. It is the same set of rows the track record shows, in full.
Download
Download the dataset as CSV (UTF-8, one header row, 9 columns).
| Column | Meaning |
|---|---|
| flagged_on | Date the call was published (YYYY-MM-DD) |
| input, input_label | The input the call is about, as an id and in words |
| claim | The claim as published |
| cost_direction | costs rising or costs easing, read from the story's final "reaches you" step |
| horizon | The window the call covers |
| outcome | hit, miss or pending |
| benchmark_moved_on | For hits, the date the benchmark first moved the called way |
| story_url | The story page, when it is indexed |
What it leaves out
184 calls the benchmark could not check and 10,313 stories that made no clear cost call are counted on the track record but not listed.
A call is listed only when its own claim states a realized move in the cost it is filed under, in the direction it calls; a call whose own claim moves prices the other way is withheld. How calls are graded, and the correction of 28 October 2026: methodology.
For information only. Not investment advice.